General Motors: On the Road to Recovery, but Moving Slowly
Today’s Daily Angle comes from Wikinvest Wire members MoneyMorning.com. You can read the full article on the Money Morning blog.
General Motors Corp. just logged its first quarterly profit since 2007. The company also claims to have paid back its government loans “in full,” and is rumored to be interested in buying back its financing arm.
But the truth of the matter is that GM isn’t as far down the path to recovery as it would like the public to believe. The company’s strong first quarter was greatly aided by Toyota Motor Corp.’s (NYSE ADR: TM) highly publicized recalls. Its claims that it has paid back government debt have been greatly exaggerated. And the United Automobile Workers (UAW) union is already pushing for restoration of many of the perks that it lost during the auto industry’s near collapse.
General Motors reported first-quarter profit of $865 million as its revenue surged 40% to $31.5 billion. That made for the company’s first quarterly profit in three years. GM - a company that took millions in taxpayer money to remain viable and came close to running out of money in 2008 - reported free cash flow of $1 billion.
GM in April repaid the balance of its $6.7 billion loan from the U.S. government, as well as smaller loans from Canadian authorities. The company aired several ads with GM Chief Executive Officer Ed Whitacre touting that achievement.
Whitacre claimed that his company repaid the government loans “in full” and “with interest five years ahead of the original schedule.” But what Whitacre didn’t mention in the ads is that the loans were paid back with money from another government kitty. The government extended $43 billion in bailout funds to GM in addition to the nearly $7 billion in loans the company claims to have repaid.
At this point, the U.S. taxpayer still owns a 61% stake in General Motors and a 56.3% stake in Ally Bank, formerly known as GMAC LLC.
GM won’t be able to pay off its debt until it launches an initial public stock offering - the timetable for which is still unclear. GM Chief Financial Officer Chris Liddell said the IPO could come later this year, but it’s just as likely to be pushed off into next year.
“The IPO will happen when the market’s ready and when the company is ready,” said Liddell. “It could happen by the end of this year, that’s a possibility. It could happen next year, that’s a possibility as well.”
GM’s first-quarter profit “is a good, useful step on the road to the IPO,” he said. “I’d like to think the first quarter demonstrates we’re making good progress. Now that we’ve achieved profitability, the next step is to achieve sustainable profitability.”
Sluggish sales in Europe will be one of the major roadblocks to that effort.
GM in the first quarter earned $1.2 billion before interest in North America compared to a $500 million loss in Europe, according to Liddell.
GM plans to cut 8,000 jobs at its European unit, Opel, and reduce its capacity by 20%. Continued restructuring costs at Opel will almost certainly lead to losses beyond the $506 million pretax first-quarter deficit.
Still, even if GM does turn its business around, the taxpayer is likely to remain on the hook for a substantial sum of money. The U.S. Treasury has $43 million tied up in the carmaker, which means GM would need to have a total value of about $80 billion after dilution for the government to break even, BusinessWeek reported. The old GM’s market capitalization peaked at about $53 billion in April 2000, according to Global Financial Data.
Fortunately, the loss on the government’s investment is now expected to be less than $8 billion, which is significantly less than the $30 billion projected in 2009.
Click here to continue reading this article on the Money Morning blog…






