It’s the World’s Hottest Market, and it Isn’t China
Today’s Daily Angle comes from Martin Hutchinson of Wikinvest Wire members MoneyMorning.com. You can read thefull article on the Money Morning blog.
Which global economy grew at an annual rate of 11% in the second quarter, and will report a second-consecutive double-digit advance when it reports today?
Hint: It isn’t China.
But you are looking in the correct part of the world.
The economy in question is South Korea, which has enjoyed an astonishing rebound since it reached a recessionarybottom last winter. One factor in particular should nurture this rebound: The Korean economy wasn’t pulled down by the U.S.-led subprime mortgage crisis, which infected many foreign banks that invested in mortgage-backed securities– the Asian Tiger was pole-axed by a collapse in world trade in the first three months of this year.
At the nadir in March, South Korean exports were down 40% from the same point in 2008. The banking system also had a liquidity crisis that required a government bailout – not because of investments in toxic U.S. derivatives, but because of similarly lackluster credit card loans and dodgy mortgage rubbish of its own.
The South Korean won declined by 40% against the dollar during the 12-month-stretch that ended in February. It has since recovered about half that drop, so it remains undervalued.
But the overall outlook is highly upbeat. From its low point in December 2008, the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) is up 65%. Exports have recovered, particularly on the back of surging demand from China – a trading partner that is growing a bit more slowly than Korea, but that has considerably more muscle with 27 times the population.
Click here to read the full article on the Money Morning Blog.


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